Predicting the Future Is Possible. ‘Superforecasters’ Know How.
December 3, 2021 with Julia Galef

Thinking, Fast and Slow
Daniel Kahneman

The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't
Julia Galef

Enlightenment Now
Steven Pinker

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition
Philip E. Tetlock

Perception and Misperception in International Politics (Center for International Affairs, Harvard University)
Robert Jervis















































































